TRANSPONDER wrote: ↑Tue Jul 30, 2024 6:29 amJust to clarify, the black swan fallacy is to show that a claim that goes against the general evidence has not equal weight, but that the general evidence is not 100% proof (white swans were the norm, but black swans existed even though we knew about them, but a claim there were black swans was not a credible one until verified, just as a claim that blue or red swans exist is valid). This means that appeal to unknowns or unverified undisprovables have no validity.
I think we suffer from the assumption of modern information here. We have the internet, photos and videos are everywhere, and if there were really blue swans somebody probably would have caught one on camera by now.
But only 50 years ago I'd probably have said, well, we know there are black and white swans, and we know about cardinals and bluebirds (bluebirds are not blue but iridescently blue, but let's ignore that for now) so the claim that there are no red or blue swans is extraordinary. The claim that there are no gods, is not just "Jehovah doesn't exist" but Zeus doesn't exist, Wematanye doesn't exist, and anything we would rightly call a god doesn't exist. That is at least as extraordinary as "Jehovah exists" or "Jesus rose from the dead."
I'm admitting those are both extraordinary and probably not true. But "nothing that can rightly be called a god exists," is also extraordinary and probably not true.
The Tanager wrote: ↑Tue Jul 30, 2024 8:03 am
Purple Knight wrote: ↑Mon Jul 29, 2024 4:54 pmYou can't disprove that magical things happen, you can just say they probably don't. Maybe Jesus did walk on water or raise the dead. For all we know, we'll someday be able to raise the dead and walk on water too. Yesterday's magic is tomorrow's science, if we're making progress. If we're regressing, yesterday's science will be tomorrow's magic. Curtains come down, versus more curtains go up. Maybe when all the curtains come down, there's still magic.
This would be true if there is no natural/supernatural split in reality. Do you have any good support for that conclusion?
No. I admitted that when all curtains come down, there might still be magic. What I can say is that not everything we thought was magic when we knew nothing, turned out to be magic, so it's a good bet (because we still don't know everything) that we still have some curtains to pull down and some false magic to bring into the light and figure out what actually makes it tick.
The Tanager wrote: ↑Tue Jul 30, 2024 8:03 amWhy would the existence of the supernatural mean that God believes in might makes right? Could you explain the moves you are making there more?
What I'm saying is, if it's all true, miracles to me are a red flag. Not miracles are a red flag to say none of it is true. Miracles are a red flag against God
if it's all true. Because why is he throwing his supernatural weight around? Why not just teach right from wrong without miracles? It's still truly right and wrong, isn't it?
JehovahsWitness wrote: ↑Tue Jul 30, 2024 12:16 pm
Purple Knight wrote: ↑Mon Jul 29, 2024 4:22 pm
JehovahsWitness wrote: ↑Mon Jul 29, 2024 3:53 pmNo mythical! Someone that has never gotten a single thing wrong is mythical.
We should probably unpack this because we're talking about like six things here, all of which are correctly called mistakes.
And you are claiming you have met (not just one, but a few) who have never made any of the listed mistakes since the day they were born.
Anyway, since you admit such a claim is a guess on your part and cannot be verified or corroborated, I cannot see how this can be the basis of a logical debate.
"Every last person has made a mistake" is also a guess.
And if you really, really, really want to go there about infantile life fully counting, let's go there. My person who has never made a mistake ever, is a newborn baby 0 minutes old.