A Deluge of Evidence for the Flood?

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LittlePig
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A Deluge of Evidence for the Flood?

Post #1

Post by LittlePig »

otseng wrote:
goat wrote:
otseng wrote:
LittlePig wrote: And I can't think of any reason you would make the comment you made if you weren't suggesting that the find favored your view of a worldwide flood.
Umm, because simply it's a better explanation? And the fact that it's more consistent with the Flood Model doesn't hurt either. ;)
Except, of course, it isn't consistent with a 'Flood Model', since it isn't mixed in with any animals that we know are modern.
Before the rabbits multiply beyond control, I'll just leave my proposal as a rapid burial. Nothing more than that. For this thread, it can just be a giant mud slide.
Since it's still spring time, let's let the rabbits multiply.

Questions for Debate:

1) Does a Global Flood Model provide the best explanation for our current fossil record, geologic formations, and biodiversity?

2) What real science is used in Global Flood Models?

3) What predictions does a Global Flood Model make?

4) Have Global Flood Models ever been subjected to a formal peer review process?
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Post #1181

Post by Peter »

More bad news for global flood fans from Talkorigins.

I bumped into this while doing some research for a post in another thread. To summarize, no worldwide genetic bottleneck anywhere in history let alone several thousand years ago when Noah built the ark.
Religion is poison because it asks us to give up our most precious faculty, which is that of reason, and to believe things without evidence. It then asks us to respect this, which it calls faith. - Christopher Hitchens

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Post #1182

Post by micatala »

Peter wrote: More bad news for global flood fans from Talkorigins.

I bumped into this while doing some research for a post in another thread. To summarize, no worldwide genetic bottleneck anywhere in history let alone several thousand years ago when Noah built the ark.
Yes, the problem in refuting a global flood is not the paucity of evidence against a flood, but the huge amount and the fact that so many different lines of evidence go against it.


In debating proponents of the idea, the problem is getting them to actually specify what geological feature they claim are a result of the flood, and which are not. In my experience, they debate in vague generalities, and rarely address specifics, especially specifics that refute the flood. otseng would be an exception to this. I think his argument has problems, but he does consider actual evidence, and is willing to give specifics. On the other hand, he sometimes will refuse to accept evidence if it comes through scientific experts, or he will at least question there expertise in interpreting that evidence. We had a long go around on ice layers, with otseng continually suggesting scientists were making mistakes in interpreting how many years a set of layers represented.



In the last few pages, Mugview has been very short on providing specifics, simply waving his hand at the details and making claims about the evidence without actually considering what the evidence really is.
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The Biblical "flood" story written many years earl

Post #1183

Post by polonius »

Little Pig posted:
Have Global Flood Models ever been subjected to a formal peer review process?
RESPONSE: Since the earth was covered with water from its beginning and land only appeared after much of the water had evaporated, what purpose would peer review serve?

Gilgamesh and Gilgamesh and Enkidu Slaying the Bull of Heaven, circa seventh century B.C.E. Brown agate, The Schoyen Collection, Neo-Assyrian Empire.
Gilgamesh and the Bible


by Shawna Dolansky

The Epic of Gilgamesh, a literary product of Mesopotamia, contains many of the same themes and motifs as the Hebrew Bible. Of these, the best-known is probably the Epic’s flood story, which reads a lot like the biblical tale of Noah’s ark (Gen 6-9). But the Epic also includes a character whose story bears even more similarities to stories in the Hebrew Bible: Gilgamesh’s possession of a plant of immortality is thwarted by a serpent (compare Gen 3), he wrestles in the night with a divinely appointed assailant who proclaims the hero’s identity and predicts that he will prevail over all others (compare Gen 32:23-32), and he is taught that the greatest response to mortality is to live life in appreciation of those things which make us truly human (compare Eccl 9:7-10).

Conclusion: Bible stories, let's pretend.

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Post #1184

Post by EarthScienceguy »

[Replying to post 1174 by Peter]

The Nature results convey a second spectacular confirmation of the amazingly biblical conclusions from the first study. These scientists confirmed that the human genome began to rapidly diversify not more than 5,000 years ago. In addition, they found significant levels of variation to be associated with degradation of the human genome, not forward evolutionary progress. This fits closely with research performed by Cornell University geneticist John Sanford who demonstrated through biologically realistic population genetic modeling that genomes actually devolve over time in a process called genetic entropy.

Sanford, J. C. 2008. Genetic Entropy and the Mystery of the Genome, 3rd ed. Waterloo, NY: FMS Publications.

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Post #1185

Post by Neatras »

EarthScienceguy wrote: Sanford, J. C.
Why did John Sanford lie about Motoo Kimura's work on population genetics?

To be more precise, why did he omit or obfuscate Motoo Kimura's work to support his unscientific concept of genetic entropy?

Are there any documented examples of error catastrophe causing extinction?

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Post #1186

Post by EarthScienceguy »

[Replying to post 1178 by Neatras]

ccording to the 23rd General Population Conference in Beijing in 1997, the total human population of the earth in that year was assessed to be in the region of 6,000 million, showing that there has been a remarkable increase over the past 200 years. Estimates of the population numbers back to the year 1500 and a prediction for the year 2080 are given in the following table.

Year 1500 1650 1800 1900 1950 1997 2080
No. (millions) 300 550 1,000 1,700 2,500 6,000 10,000
Extrapolation further into the past gives the following approximate numbers:

Year -2000 -1000 0 1000
No. (millions) 1 50 100 250


I find these figures to be in close agreement with what one would expect from the biblical specification after the Flood in 2344 B.C. The assumed existence of thousands of millions of “prehumans� is both physically and scriptural unrealistic.

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Post #1187

Post by Neatras »

[Replying to post 1179 by EarthScienceguy]

You have not addressed my questions, which means your tangent is completely meaningless to me. You are free to take this topic in any direction you want, but so brazenly skipping my questions is a bit of a slap in the face.

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Post #1188

Post by EarthScienceguy »

[Replying to post 1180 by Neatras]

Because I already debunked this bogus claim by Kimura before. People are free to believe or not believe the FACTS I give.

Is man presently degenerating genetically?

It would seem so, according the papers by Muller, Neal, Kondrashov, Nachman/Crowell, Walker/Keightley, Crow, Lynch et al., Howell, Loewe and also myself. Scott suggests this is foolishness and dismisses the Crow paper (1–2% fitness decline per generation). But Kondrashov, an evolutionist who is an expert on this subject, has advised me that virtually all the human geneticists he knows agree that man is degenerating genetically. The most definitive findings were published in 2010 in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Science by Lynch.4 That paper indicates human fitness is declining at 3–5% per generation. I personally feel the average mutational effect on fitness is much more subtle than Lynch does—so I think the rate of human degeneration is much slower than he suggests—but we at least agree that fitness is going down, not up. Can Scott find any qualified geneticist who asserts man is NOT now degenerating genetically? There is really no debate on current human genetic degeneration.

virtually all the human geneticists he knows agree that man is degenerating genetically
Is there a theoretical problem associated with continuously growing genetic load due to subtle un-selectable deleterious mutations? Yes, according to Muller, Kondrashov, Loewe, and many others. Population geneticists all seem to acknowledge the fact that a large fraction of deleterious mutations are too subtle to be effectively selected away. The question is, what is that fraction? At what point does the fitness effect of a deleterious mutation become too small to be selected away? I have been studying this for about 7 years. Our numerical simulations indicate that for higher organisms, up to 90% of all deleterious mutations should be un-selectable (Chase W. Nelson and John C. Sanford, 2013, Computational Evolution Experiments Reveal a Net Loss of Genetic Information Despite Selection, Biological Information: New Perspectives pp. 338–368; https://doi.org/10.1142/9789814508728_0014).


What is Dr. Ohta’s view on genetic degeneration?

Dr. Tomoko Ohta was a key student of Kimura, and published extensively with Kimura. Dr Ohta came to be known as the ‘Queen of Population Genetics’, and is now an honorary member of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences, and an associate of the National Academy of Sciences, USA. She is the world’s authority on the topic of near-neutral mutations. One of my co-authors went to Japan to spend several days discussing with her a manuscript in which we used numerical simulation to clearly demonstrate that near-neutral deleterious mutations generally escape selective removal and lead to continuous and linear accumulation of genetic damage. She acknowledged that our numerical simulations appeared to be valid, and that our conclusions appeared to be valid. This clearly reflects a profound evolutionary paradox (it is the same paradox Kondrashov addressed in his paper “why have we not died 100 times over?�5). When asked about synergistic epistasis, she immediately acknowledged that synergistic epistasis should make the problem worse, not better, just as I argue in my book. Using numerical simulations, we have confirmed that synergistic epistasis fails to slow mutation accumulation and accelerates genetic decline (Can Synergistic Epistasis Halt Mutation Accumulation? Results from Numerical Simulation; doi.org/10.1142/9789814508728_0013).

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Post #1189

Post by Neatras »

Then we can work on the second question.

Are there any documented examples of error catastrophe causing extinction?

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Post #1190

Post by DrNoGods »

[Replying to post 1179 by EarthScienceguy]
The assumed existence of thousands of millions of “prehumans� is both physically and scriptural unrealistic.


Who has ever made the assumption that there were "thousands of millions" (ie. billions) of "prehumans"? What is a "prehuman"? Is this everything in the genus Homo (eg. from Homo habilis to Homo sapiens, (ie. archaic humans))? If so (what else could it mean?), then are you referring to the total number of such species that ever existed in total? Or is it the maximum population of living creatures in the category at any given time (in which case this was obviously never close to multiple billions).

And what does this have to do with the other comments in the post about population numbers for modern humans since 1500, or -2000 (presumably 2000 BC), when no "prehumans" existed as there have been no members of the genus Homo on this planet apart from Homo sapiens for the last roughly 12,000 years (red deer cave people).
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