The 2010 Election

[WinePusher]

Ok, so what's everybodies predications on the upcoming 2010 congressional elections?

I think republicans will take a sweeping majority in the House, and will get huge gains in the senate (but won't regain the majority).

Key races to look out for are:

California Senate: Carly Fiorina (R) vs. Barbara Boxer (D)
Delaware Senate: Christine O' Donnell (R) vs. Chris Coons (D)
Nevada Senate:Sharon Angle (R) vs. Harry Reid (D)
Florida Senate: Marco Rubio (R) vs. Chris Cristie (I)

I also predict republican victories in every single one of these races, even though they are very tight races.

I realize there's nothing religious about this, but I thought it'd be an interesting discussion in light of the upcoming elections. If moderators feel this is inappropriate they can delete it or lock it.

[cnorman18]

After having watched some American Campaign ads, I was appalled at how many were negative and at how 'first-year-film-school' they were.

In Ireland, we don't even have TV ads. You hand out fliers with your proposals and policies on them and debate their merits with opponents and talk-show hosts. Not ideal, but it beats mindless generic slander.

And you don't tax artists either. How astonishingly sane.

It's also my understanding that campaigning is limited to a very short time before the election. We, on the other hand, started the Presidential campaigns for the 2012 election the day after the 2008 election.

Great country, Ireland. Sounds a lot closer to ideal than our system, which is dominated by the Golden Rule.

No, not that one. This one:

"Whoever has the gold -- makes the rules."

[LiamOS]

We're still the America of Europe(Well, second to the U.K.).
Central and Northern Europe take the general awesomeness a few steps further.

But yes, election campaigns last for merely a few weeks and consist largely of posters and radio/TV debates.

[WinePusher]

WinePusher


O'Donald will lose her race bigtime. She is not a serious candidate.

Angle will also lose to Reid, though I wish Reid was not the alternative.

The other two are really too close to call.

The Dems will probably lose around 15 seats in the House, and maybe about 6 seats in the Senate but will retain control in both houses. The Reps will not be able to continue to just say no, not if they want to get reelected for another term. They will have to learn how to compromise.

Grumpy

Gaa, O'Donnell will lose. Which is unforunate, but the sad reality of things. While the Reid/Angle race is horribly close to predict, I suspect Reid will win due to some recent campaign ads Angle ran.

[TheLibertarian]

I'm quite happy O'Donnell will lose, and I'm to her right on economic issues. You don't treat Delaware like you would Alabama. Conservatives always complain that government disregards local institutions, then they want to run someone more fit for the South in a perfectly liberal state like Delaware. Moreover, she's a fundamentalist.

I'll be voting the straight Libertarian line this year. Nothing and nobody can convince me otherwise. Our local candidate for mayor is another imbecile Christian more fit for a lunatic asylum than for elected office (not that there's much distinction these days).

[WinePusher]

With the election drawing very close, I'm adding a few more races for predictions:

-Connecticut Senate: Linda McMahon (R) vs Richard Blumenthal (D) Who supposdly lied about military service
-California Gubernatorial: Meg Whitman (R) vs Jerry Brown (D) What are people's opinions regarding Whitman's illegal maid and Brown's use of a sexist slur?
-Kentucky Senate: Rand Paul (R) vs. Jack Conway (D) Rand Paul will win despite the left's attempt to label him a radical, as he appeals to libetarians and conservatives.
-South Carolina Senate: Jim DeMint (R) vs Alvin Greene (D) I bet Greene will win, which would be very upseting.
-Alaska Senate: Lisa Murkoskiw (R) vs. Joe Miller (R) vs. Scott McAdams (D) Murkowski will divide the vote and the seat will go to a democrat, IMO.

While this was supposed to be a good year for republicans, technical mishaps have turned the odds aganist them in the Senate. My prediction is that Republicans will definitly recapture the House and most Governor's seats, but will remain in the minority in the Senate. I suppose gambeling is aganist the rules

[TheLibertarian]

as he appeals to libetarians

Not quite. He's taken hardline stances on the War on Drugs and the War in Iraq.

[WinePusher]

as he appeals to libetarians

Not quite. He's taken hardline stances on the War on Drugs and the War in Iraq.

Well, Ron Paul opposes abortion (I think) yet libertarians support him.

[Lux]

I suppose gambeling is aganist the rules

Bet you 10 dollars it isn't

My prediction is democrats will keep the majority in both Senate and House, but they'll definitely lose seats.

[WinePusher]

I suppose gambeling is aganist the rules

Bet you 10 dollars it isn't

My prediction is democrats will keep the majority in both Senate and House, but they'll definitely lose seats.

Hmm... a few adjustments. Instead of it being ten dollars, how about 100 tokens? If the republicans take the House, you give me 100, but if the democrats retain the house, you get 100. I'm to conservative to bet on the senate though .

[micatala]

See http://www.electoral-vote.com/ for full coverage and polls for both houses. They have the house going to the reps by 2 and the senate to the dems by 2. Talk about divided government.

With the election drawing very close, I'm adding a few more races for predictions:

-Connecticut Senate: Linda McMahon (R) vs Richard Blumenthal (D) Who supposdly lied about military service
-California Gubernatorial: Meg Whitman (R) vs Jerry Brown (D) What are people's opinions regarding Whitman's illegal maid and Brown's use of a sexist slur?
-Kentucky Senate: Rand Paul (R) vs. Jack Conway (D) Rand Paul will win despite the left's attempt to label him a radical, as he appeals to libetarians and conservatives.
-South Carolina Senate: Jim DeMint (R) vs Alvin Greene (D) I bet Greene will win, which would be very upseting.
-Alaska Senate: Lisa Murkoskiw (R) vs. Joe Miller (R) vs. Scott McAdams (D) Murkowski will divide the vote and the seat will go to a democrat, IMO.

While this was supposed to be a good year for republicans, technical mishaps have turned the odds aganist them in the Senate. My prediction is that Republicans will definitly recapture the House and most Governor's seats, but will remain in the minority in the Senate. I suppose gambeling is aganist the rules

I saw a poll yesterday that had Alaska tied between Miller and Murkowski at 37% a piece with the democrat trailing. It seems that seat will stay republican one way or the other. I'd say Miller will probably get it since write ins almost always get a lower percentage than the polls show.



I agree with Winepusher that the senate stays dem, the house probably goes rep.


Let's go way out on a limb and make some further predictions.

If Miller, Paul, Angle, and some others of that ilk do get elected, they will embarrass themselves and their will be a reaction in two years.

If the Reps do get the house, they will be put on the spot to provide concrete, legitimate proposals for reducing the deficit and increasing jobs. I am skeptical they will be able to do this. They will try and of course fail to repeal the health care bill. In five years, everyone, including them, will be grateful they did, even if they don't admit it. Some changes will probably be made over that period.

However, the Reps might get lucky and things will continue to improve regardless of what congress or Obama does.

Things will probably be good enough in two years that Obama gets re-elected.

Obama will push congress to deal repsonsibly with the deficit, primarily by addressing entitlements. This is really the only way that problem is going to get solved. Even Chris Wallace on FOX agrees with this, and has been pushing Rep candidates on the issue.

And finally, the Giants will win the world series this year, and the superbowl next year.

I'll be anybody 10 tokens on any of these.