This argument has been around for a long time and has been debated many times.
The question for debate is,
- Does the apparent design of the universe prove the existence of an intelligent Designer and Creator of the universe?
Moderator: Moderators
Are you referring to self-organization?QED wrote:if we had always used an alternative word to distinguish non-intelligent design then we would be better prepared mentally for the concept of a universe that organizes itself according to it's own material properties.
Well, as a methodological principle it has been refuted. Although, as a metaphysical principle there can be no scientific resolution.McCulloch wrote:William Paley's watchmaker's argument were refuted long time ago in scientific arena.
An uncaused universe? You mean like the whole universe actually came to exist like 5 minutes ago? Assuming you consider that unlikely, can I ask why? I think your answer underlies the reason why God is much more parsimonious than an uncaused universe.McCulloch wrote:Just like all watches have watchmakers, so do all watchmakers have fathers. Therefore, with the watchmaker analogy, god has a father. Who is the father of god? And who is the father of the father? And so forth. This either leads to an endless series or to an ultimate God who is uncaused. Which is more rational, belief in an uncaused God or belief in an uncaused universe?
Well, the analogy wasn't constructed to show that the universe is a watch. The analogy was to show in what way the universe is like a watch (i.e., in terms of its sophisticated structure that requires an explanation.McCulloch wrote:The things (components) used by the watchmaker to make watches already exists, but the theists claim that their god created things ex nihilo, from nothing. So the analogy is false here, too.
Analogies eventually break down, that's why they are called analogies. One might say the watchmaker analogy is false because there are natural processes to explain how design can happen in the natural world (e.g., natural selection), but this is missing the point of the analogy. The issue isn't that there are no other processes that could be used to bring about the design in the universe, the issue is that the state space of the natural world is not large enough to explain the occurrence of highly complex design. If a watch could happen through natural processes, there would still be a problem in explaining how a sophisticated watch could happen without some kind of intelligence operating behind that natural process. This is, of course, what natural selection solves in many respects. However, it is not known how successful natural selection is at solving the most pressing design issues that exist. This is why many biologists are looking at dynamical systems (e.g., emergence) to explain the design in areas where natural selection seems to lack sufficient answers. In any case, the discussion becomes very muddied on the biological side of things because few agree on how to define complexity along with the limitations of natural selection in arriving at that complexity. For this reason, the design argument is more objectively analyzed by looking at cosmology, astrophysics and particle physics since natural selection is much more limited in this arena (although not completely absent since Lee Smolin has introduced a natural selection mechanism to try and explain design in the Cosmos).McCulloch wrote:The watchmaker is a false analogy because it assumes that because two objects share one common quality, they must have another quality in common.
Well, I don't think it is helpful to suggest that all theists are postulating some superhuman being. I think it's a strawman argument that only reflects bad on your own desire to make the argument look easier to reject.McCulloch wrote:Therefore, the argument does not the least prove that the world was designed by a superhuman being.
Yes, of course Harvey. Self-organization is an established principle. As you know there are numerous instances of this well-documented phenomenon. However, the way people go on about the need for the intelligent design of complex systems would make it seem that they are unaware of such things.harvey1 wrote:Are you referring to self-organization?
This is obviously your Achilles heel: That the universe is extremely unlikely is, as you must realize, not a safe thing to say. If, as Smolin and others have suggested, our universe is but one member of a collection of universes then all bets are off. Smolin shows how his hypothesis can be tested as well, so it's more than mere speculation. If the values of the physical constants are found to be near optimal for the production of black holes (which tests so far have been in agreement with) then we have positive indicators supporting his theory.harvey1 wrote:It seems to me that a whole lot of people just want to be in denial about God, and they'll do anything or say anything to make that denial look rational. But, in the end, the universe is extremely unlikely. A fact that atheists just don't like to dwell on.
It's still unlikely that there are many casinos. A likely situation is one in which there is some necessary reason why a casino must exist. However, as my thread on brute facts demonstrates, pushing this issue up a level to multiple universes doesn't resolve the issue of unlikeliness for the atheist. In addition, the singularity theorems are quite strong. I would be curious how Smolin thinks he can avoid them.QED wrote:This is obviously your Achilles heel: That the universe is extremely unlikely is, as you must realize, not a safe thing to say. If, as Smolin and others have suggested, our universe is but one member of a collection of universes then all bets are off.
McCulloch wrote:Just like all watches have watchmakers, so do all watchmakers have fathers. Therefore, with the watchmaker analogy, god has a father. Who is the father of god? And who is the father of the father? And so forth. This either leads to an endless series or to an ultimate God who is uncaused. Which is more rational, belief in an uncaused God or belief in an uncaused universe?
Or 50 billion years ago. It does seem unlikely that the universe came to exist 5 minutes ago complete with evidence that it had existed a lot longer. However, I still don't see the philosophical difference in believing in an uncaused universe billions of years old and an uncaused God at whatever age you want to make him.harvey1 wrote:An uncaused universe? You mean like the whole universe actually came to exist like 5 minutes ago? Assuming you consider that unlikely, can I ask why? I think your answer underlies the reason why God is much more parsimonious than an uncaused universe.
McCulloch wrote:The things (components) used by the watchmaker to make watches already exists, but the theists claim that their god created things ex nihilo, from nothing. So the analogy is false here, too.
Here is another analogy. I walk on the beach and see many stones and pebbles. They are all different shapes and sizes. I do not take particular notice of any of them. Then I see a ball bearing. It's lack of sophistication, its perfectly round shape point to only one thing. It was deliberately designed. We naturally assume that those things which are smooth, regular and uniform have been deliberately designed and those which are irregular and non-uniform are not the products of deliberate design. The natural universe does not seem deliberately designed to me.harvey1 wrote:Well, the analogy wasn't constructed to show that the universe is a watch. The analogy was to show in what way the universe is like a watch (i.e., in terms of its sophisticated structure that requires an explanation.)
McCulloch wrote:Therefore, the argument does not the least prove that the world was designed by a superhuman being.
Sorry. Most theists, especially Christian theists, postulate a superhuman God. One who takes direct interest in human affairs. Who has a human son who's death and subsequent resurrection somehow absolves humans from the guilt of sinning against this god.harvey1 wrote:Well, I don't think it is helpful to suggest that all theists are postulating some superhuman being. I think it's a strawman argument that only reflects bad on your own desire to make the argument look easier to reject.
Honestly, I don't know. Neither do you. So we seem to be back to either leaving that as an unknown for the time being or assigning it to the God of the gaps.harvey1 wrote:What I would ask you to consider is this. If the coincidences in the physical constants are just coincidences, then why should the universe exist in such a peculiar state as having needed coincidences? Why didn't we just find out that there were no such coincidences and atheism was able to explain all of the this without appealing to multiple universes? Why are there singularity theorems that prevent big bang/inflationary cosmology from postulating an eternal in the past universe?
Not so. Winning the lottery is a very unlikely event yet it happens once for every draw.harvey1 wrote:It seems to me that a whole lot of people just want to be in denial about God, and they'll do anything or say anything to make that denial look rational. But, in the end, the universe is extremely unlikely. A fact that atheists just don't like to dwell on.
Really? I'm inclined to think otherwise.harvey1 wrote:It's still unlikely that there are many casinos.QED wrote:This is obviously your Achilles heel: That the universe is extremely unlikely is, as you must realize, not a safe thing to say. If, as Smolin and others have suggested, our universe is but one member of a collection of universes then all bets are off.
I'm sorry, I can't locate this particular demonstration. Or was it simply that you claim many universes to be less parsimonious? If so you must know how that is a fallacy. The existence of any evolved product is more parsimonius than a brute-fact product. Evolution can always reduce to brute fact, while providing a gearing mechanism to higher complexity.harvey1 wrote: A likely situation is one in which there is some necessary reason why a casino must exist. However, as my thread on brute facts demonstrates, pushing this issue up a level to multiple universes doesn't resolve the issue of unlikeliness for the atheist.
Can you flesh this out a bit more for me please?harvey1 wrote: In addition, the singularity theorems are quite strong. I would be curious how Smolin thinks he can avoid them.
Yeah, but McCulloch, if there was an uncaused universe, then what could possibly be used to determine that a 5 minute old universe is any less likely than one that came into existence 13.7 billion years ago (approx)?McCulloch wrote:It does seem unlikely that the universe came to exist 5 minutes ago complete with evidence that it had existed a lot longer. However, I still don't see the philosophical difference in believing in an uncaused universe billions of years old and an uncaused God at whatever age you want to make him.
Would it seem to you to be any more of a designed universe if you and I weren't here and all that existed was a fluctuating superstring (i.e., assuming we could somehow "see" this alternative world that just never got started in the first place)?McCulloch wrote:The natural universe does not seem deliberately designed to me.
Ah, but Paley's watchmaker argument preceded the modern cosmological arguments for God's existence. Why should that be the case if there weren't a God? I mean it seems very plausible to me that if there were no God that evidence of this sort just wouldn't be so reoccurring in our scientific finds.McCulloch wrote:Honestly, I don't know. Neither do you. So we seem to be back to either leaving that as an unknown for the time being or assigning it to the God of the gaps.
Here's a perfect example. The argument is that maybe someone got lucky and won the lottery. However, your argument isn't just that someone might have gotten lucky. It is that someone did get lucky and you know it to be true... because? Atheist faith. That's the only reason why you know it.McCulloch wrote:Not so. Winning the lottery is a very unlikely event yet it happens once for every draw.